Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Toews 60.4% (-10.1%)
Offensive zone
Toews 58.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 51.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 54.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Jenner
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
62.6% (728)
-11.3%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
59.4% (143)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
46.9% (32)
+3.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Jenner
Toews
Home
52.7% (165)
61.1% (455)
Away
50.0% (144)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Jenner
Toews
P1
49.0%
59.7%
P2
45.0%
66.7%
P3
59.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%