Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Hayes 42.7% (+15.7%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 59.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Jenner
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
31.9% (91)
+19.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
64.3% (14)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hayes
Home
52.7% (165)
30.6% (49)
Away
50.0% (144)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Jenner
Hayes
P1
49.0%
22.9%
P2
45.0%
40.0%
P3
59.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%