Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Eller 55.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 67.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Jenner
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Jenner
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
56.0% (459)
-4.7%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
77.8% (9)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
51.9% (54)
-1.9%
On power play, Eller has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Jenner
Eller
Home
52.7% (165)
52.6% (215)
Away
50.0% (144)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Jenner
Eller
P1
49.0%
54.1%
P2
45.0%
57.6%
P3
59.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
55.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |