Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Barzal 41.9% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 50.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Jenner
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
40.9% (469)
+10.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
34.2% (38)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Jenner
Barzal
Home
52.7% (165)
39.2% (250)
Away
50.0% (144)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Jenner
Barzal
P1
49.0%
46.3%
P2
45.0%
36.7%
P3
59.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%