Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Backlund 49.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 86.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 61.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Jenner
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Jenner
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
50.5% (944)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
51.5% (66)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
47.1% (297)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Jenner
Backlund
Home
52.7% (165)
48.1% (636)
Away
50.0% (144)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Jenner
Backlund
P1
49.0%
45.4%
P2
45.0%
54.1%
P3
59.5%
49.2%
Final 5 min
55.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |