Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Foligno 49.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 67.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 54.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Jenner
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jenner
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Jenner
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
49.5% (291)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
55.8% (43)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Jenner
Foligno
Home
52.7% (165)
48.9% (178)
Away
50.0% (144)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Jenner
Foligno
P1
49.0%
43.0%
P2
45.0%
55.9%
P3
59.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |