Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 58.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Jenner
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Jenner
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
45.9% (697)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
47.9% (117)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
48.0% (25)
+2.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Jenner
Schmaltz
Home
52.7% (165)
44.9% (434)
Away
50.0% (144)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Jenner
Schmaltz
P1
49.0%
41.5%
P2
45.0%
46.7%
P3
59.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
55.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |