Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Sturm 53.6% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 71.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 73.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Jenner
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
54.6% (271)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
54.4% (90)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Jenner
Sturm
Home
52.7% (165)
53.0% (168)
Away
50.0% (144)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Jenner
Sturm
P1
49.0%
58.2%
P2
45.0%
53.2%
P3
59.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%