Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.2%). Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Roy 51.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 74.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 55.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Jenner
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jenner
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Jenner
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
51.9% (547)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
54.1% (37)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
53.3% (92)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Jenner
Roy
Home
52.7% (165)
54.0% (328)
Away
50.0% (144)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Jenner
Roy
P1
49.0%
53.5%
P2
45.0%
51.6%
P3
59.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |