Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 62.0%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 78.1%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 58.2%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Jenner
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Jenner
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Jenner
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
46.8% (301)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
80.0% (10)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
43.5% (85)
+6.5%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Jenner
Sundqvist
Home
52.7% (165)
46.0% (189)
Away
50.0% (144)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Jenner
Sundqvist
P1
49.0%
44.7%
P2
45.0%
47.6%
P3
59.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |