Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.2%). Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Thomas 51.9% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 53.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 51.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Jenner
Thomas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
50.3% (652)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
61.5% (104)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
54.2% (120)
-4.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Jenner
Thomas
Home
52.7% (165)
52.0% (400)
Away
50.0% (144)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Jenner
Thomas
P1
49.0%
49.6%
P2
45.0%
55.4%
P3
59.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%