Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Hartman 45.6% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Jenner
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jenner
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Jenner
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
45.1% (874)
+6.2%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
47.4% (95)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hartman
Home
52.7% (165)
45.0% (515)
Away
50.0% (144)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Jenner
Hartman
P1
49.0%
47.3%
P2
45.0%
40.1%
P3
59.5%
48.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |