Boone Jenner vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 78.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 88.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 88.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
20
(29 meetings)
9
20
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Jenner 2-8 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
6
9
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
6
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
5
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
44.8% (8,775)
+9.7%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
50.6% (844)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
37.8% (880)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Jenner shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.5% (4,073)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.6%
45.1%
P2
53.6%
43.9%
P3
54.5%
45.2%
OT
54.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | OT | 01:10 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |