Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 50.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Jenner
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
55.7% (856)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
57.5% (233)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
50.0% (144)
+0.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Jenner
O'Reilly
Home
52.7% (165)
55.5% (616)
Away
50.0% (144)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Jenner
O'Reilly
P1
49.0%
58.1%
P2
45.0%
54.9%
P3
59.5%
53.9%
Final 5 min
55.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%