Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.1%). Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 70.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Jenner
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
52.6% (464)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
100.0% (1)
-45.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
46.5% (155)
+3.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Jenner
Kuraly
Home
52.7% (165)
55.9% (322)
Away
50.0% (144)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Jenner
Kuraly
P1
49.0%
55.9%
P2
45.0%
46.7%
P3
59.5%
50.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%