Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Jenner wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 30-28 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 58.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 66.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 57.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Jenner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
28
(58 meetings)
30
28
Jenner
Stamkos
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
12
17
Jenner
Stamkos
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
12
5
Jenner
Stamkos
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Jenner
Stamkos
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
50.5% (9,825)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
55.2% (1,729)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
49.6% (827)
-1.2%
On even strength, Jenner has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jenner is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,168).
Jenner shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stamkos
Home
54.5% (4,073)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Jenner
Stamkos
P1
53.6%
49.2%
P2
53.6%
52.7%
P3
54.5%
50.9%
OT
54.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |