Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.5%). Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Jenner wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 53.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 56.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Jenner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Jenner
Bozak
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
9
Jenner
Bozak
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
11
1
Jenner
Bozak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
6
Jenner
Bozak
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jenner is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,168).
Jenner shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bozak
Home
54.5% (4,073)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Jenner
Bozak
P1
53.6%
53.2%
P2
53.6%
52.8%
P3
54.5%
54.5%
OT
54.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2018 | OT | 01:54 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |