Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.6%). Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings). Jenner wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 54.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Jenner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
17
(38 meetings)
21
17
Jenner
Seguin
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
11
8
Jenner
Seguin
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
6
7
Jenner
Seguin
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
55.9% (810)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
49.3% (762)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jenner is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,168).
Jenner shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Jenner
Seguin
Home
54.5% (4,073)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Jenner
Seguin
P1
53.6%
52.8%
P2
53.6%
53.3%
P3
54.5%
54.7%
OT
54.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |