Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 31 meetings). Gordon wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Spezza 54.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 40-37 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 82.1%
Defensive zone
Gordon 89.1%
Neutral zone
Gordon 57.7%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Gordon
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
37
(77 meetings)
40
37
Gordon
Spezza
Last 10: Gordon 8-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
26
Gordon
Spezza
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
22
5
Gordon
Spezza
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
13
6
Gordon
Spezza
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
54.4% (7,990)
+4.0%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
56.8% (1,726)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
52.7% (643)
-0.2%
On even strength, Gordon has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Gordon is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,017).
Gordon shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Gordon
Spezza
Home
58.3% (3,125)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Gordon
Spezza
P1
57.5%
55.7%
P2
56.8%
54.4%
P3
57.0%
54.1%
OT
40.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
59.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |