Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +26.5% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.4% vs Tavares 59.8% (-26.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 67.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Marchand
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
60.9% (1,043)
-29.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.4% (278)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.6% (21)
+2.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Marchand is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Marchand shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Marchand
Tavares
Home
42.1% (19)
63.5% (684)
Away
27.3% (22)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Marchand
Tavares
P1
31.6%
60.3%
P2
28.6%
60.4%
P3
50.0%
60.1%
Final 5 min
16.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%