Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 48.7% vs Duchene 52.1% (-13.9%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 50.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 69.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Marchand
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
53.0% (723)
-30.8%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
43.8% (16)
+31.2%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Marchand is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Marchand shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Marchand
Duchene
Home
37.5% (8)
54.9% (408)
Away
40.0% (5)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Marchand
Duchene
P1
28.6%
52.5%
P2
40.0%
51.7%
P3
100.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%