Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +42.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.2% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-42.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 70.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Marchand
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
12.5% (8)
55.7% (856)
-43.2%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marchand is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (6).
Marchand shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Marchand
O'Reilly
Home
16.7% (6)
55.5% (616)
Away
0.0% (2)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Marchand
O'Reilly
P1
16.7%
58.1%
P2
0.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
25.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
12.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%