Brad Richards vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs McDavid 47.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 57.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 63.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Richards
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Richards
McDavid
Last 5: Richards 2-3 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Richards
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Richards
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
47.7% (8,394)
+2.7%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
52.1% (374)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
43.8% (281)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Richards
McDavid
Home
51.1% (2,671)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Richards
McDavid
P1
49.6%
46.5%
P2
50.3%
48.7%
P3
51.0%
48.3%
OT
50.6%
42.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |