Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Erat 46.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 55.4%
Defensive zone
Richards 53.5%
Neutral zone
Erat 52.8%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Richards
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Richards
Erat
Last 5: Richards 2-3 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Erat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
1
Richards
Erat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Erat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
46.7% (321)
+3.7%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
45.5% (101)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
41.4% (29)
-0.1%
On power play, Richards has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Richards
Erat
Home
51.1% (2,671)
53.2% (252)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Richards
Erat
P1
49.6%
43.4%
P2
50.3%
45.8%
P3
51.0%
50.0%
OT
50.6%
16.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Brad Richards |