Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dwyer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Dwyer 38.5% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 88.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 60.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 84.7%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Richards
Dwyer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Richards
Dwyer
Last 8: Richards 5-3 Dwyer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
Dwyer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dwyer
0
2
Richards
Dwyer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Dwyer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Dwyer
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
36.1% (313)
+14.3%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
33.3% (15)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
28.6% (28)
+12.7%
On power play, Richards has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dwyer shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Dwyer is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Richards
Dwyer
Home
51.1% (2,671)
36.8% (163)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
34.0% (194)
By Period
Richards
Dwyer
P1
49.6%
36.7%
P2
50.3%
30.8%
P3
51.0%
39.8%
OT
50.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Brad Richards |