Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.7%). Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 58.8%
Defensive zone
Richardson 59.0%
Neutral zone
Richardson 52.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Richardson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Richardson
Nosek
Last 7: Richardson 3-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Richardson
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
54.9% (2,710)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
45.8% (48)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
47.2% (428)
-1.3%
On power play, Richardson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Richardson
Nosek
Home
53.6% (3,164)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Richardson
Nosek
P1
52.3%
52.2%
P2
54.2%
54.1%
P3
53.5%
54.7%
OT
61.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |