Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Giroux 56.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 96.9%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 80.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 77.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Tkachuk
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Tkachuk
Giroux
Last 10: Tkachuk 2-8 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
3
Tkachuk
Giroux
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
4
Tkachuk
Giroux
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
55.8% (13,886)
-6.9%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
60.5% (4,081)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
57.5% (2,528)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Giroux
Home
50.7% (1,435)
59.2% (10,265)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
54.6% (10,270)
By Period
Tkachuk
Giroux
P1
49.4%
57.5%
P2
51.3%
56.2%
P3
49.1%
57.3%
OT
55.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |