Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs McDavid 48.1% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 72.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 81.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Tkachuk
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
47.7% (686)
+7.2%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
49.3% (75)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.9% (45)
+51.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
McDavid
Home
50.8% (128)
50.0% (412)
Away
62.9% (132)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Tkachuk
McDavid
P1
56.6%
48.0%
P2
58.9%
48.5%
P3
56.2%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%