Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Strome 51.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 52.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 89.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 70.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Tkachuk
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tkachuk
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
50.1% (6,371)
-1.2%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
58.6% (1,532)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
45.6% (68)
-0.6%
On power play, Strome has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Strome
Home
50.7% (1,435)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
52.3% (4,003)
By Period
Tkachuk
Strome
P1
49.4%
50.5%
P2
51.3%
52.3%
P3
49.1%
52.3%
OT
55.3%
52.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |