Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Lindholm 55.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 77.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 79.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 56.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Tkachuk
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
54.8% (766)
+0.1%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
62.3% (175)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
52.2% (92)
+47.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Home
50.8% (128)
56.6% (578)
Away
62.9% (132)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Tkachuk
Lindholm
P1
56.6%
55.2%
P2
58.9%
56.3%
P3
56.2%
56.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |