Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Haula 52.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 79.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 56.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Tkachuk
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Tkachuk
Haula
Last 10: Tkachuk 1-9 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
1
Tkachuk
Haula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
9
Tkachuk
Haula
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
52.8% (7,726)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
57.3% (607)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
43.4% (798)
+1.6%
On power play, Haula has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Haula
Home
50.7% (1,435)
53.4% (4,520)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
51.3% (4,611)
By Period
Tkachuk
Haula
P1
49.4%
53.2%
P2
51.3%
51.4%
P3
49.1%
52.6%
OT
55.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |