Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Compher 51.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 69.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 92.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 67.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Tkachuk
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tkachuk
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Compher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Tkachuk
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Tkachuk
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
53.1% (784)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
54.8% (31)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
36.8% (95)
+63.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Compher
Home
50.8% (128)
51.3% (452)
Away
62.9% (132)
51.5% (458)
By Period
Tkachuk
Compher
P1
56.6%
54.9%
P2
58.9%
49.0%
P3
56.2%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |