Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Roslovic 45.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.2%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 63.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 75.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Last 6: Tkachuk 4-2 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
1
Tkachuk
Roslovic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Roslovic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
45.0% (3,012)
+3.9%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
48.4% (341)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
34.3% (105)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Home
50.7% (1,435)
44.0% (1,739)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
46.0% (1,719)
By Period
Tkachuk
Roslovic
P1
49.4%
45.5%
P2
51.3%
44.9%
P3
49.1%
44.8%
OT
55.3%
31.8%
Final 5 min
47.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |