Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Schwartz 52.9% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 70.1%
Defensive zone
Schwartz 73.7%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 51.0%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Tkachuk
Schwartz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
60.5% (38)
-5.6%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
53.3% (15)
+6.1%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Schwartz
Home
50.8% (128)
71.4% (21)
Away
62.9% (132)
50.0% (32)
By Period
Tkachuk
Schwartz
P1
56.6%
60.9%
P2
58.9%
69.2%
P3
56.2%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
76.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%