Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Dickinson 49.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 81.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 71.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Tkachuk
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tkachuk
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
51.9% (670)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
66.7% (9)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.1% (156)
+60.9%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +60.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Dickinson
Home
50.8% (128)
48.7% (431)
Away
62.9% (132)
50.7% (404)
By Period
Tkachuk
Dickinson
P1
56.6%
43.4%
P2
58.9%
54.9%
P3
56.2%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |