Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Spezza 52.4% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 85.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Tkachuk
Spezza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
53.7% (451)
-8.3%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
54.3% (92)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
38.2% (34)
+61.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +61.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Spezza
Home
51.1% (233)
55.0% (282)
Away
49.0% (202)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Tkachuk
Spezza
P1
42.9%
53.1%
P2
52.2%
53.2%
P3
53.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%