Brady Tkachuk vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
47.3% (207)
+7.6%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
100.0% (3)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.8% (128)
46.5% (129)
Away
62.9% (132)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
P1
56.6%
51.3%
P2
58.9%
46.1%
P3
56.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%