Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.5%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Eller 50.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Tkachuk
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Tkachuk
Eller
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
9
2
Tkachuk
Eller
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
8
Tkachuk
Eller
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Tkachuk
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
51.1% (10,321)
-2.2%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
52.8% (621)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
46.6% (1,759)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Eller
Home
50.7% (1,435)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Tkachuk
Eller
P1
49.4%
51.2%
P2
51.3%
50.1%
P3
49.1%
50.2%
OT
55.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 03:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 02:04 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |