Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Glendening 55.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 94.4%
Defensive zone
Glendening 82.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 68.8%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Tkachuk
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tkachuk
Glendening
Last 5: Tkachuk 1-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
4
Tkachuk
Glendening
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
58.3% (725)
-10.4%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
50.0% (8)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
48.4% (215)
-48.4%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Tkachuk shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Glendening
Home
56.0% (175)
55.4% (469)
Away
49.8% (205)
56.6% (479)
By Period
Tkachuk
Glendening
P1
55.0%
53.5%
P2
51.9%
57.0%
P3
47.3%
58.0%
OT
77.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
52.6%
Glendening
66.0%▲
49.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |