Brady Tkachuk vs Mark Jankowski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.4%). Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 84.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 51.4%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
8
0
Tkachuk
Jankowski
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
9
Tkachuk
Jankowski
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
51.5% (3,490)
-2.6%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
53.7% (95)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
42.7% (534)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Home
50.7% (1,435)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Tkachuk
Jankowski
P1
49.4%
49.8%
P2
51.3%
51.1%
P3
49.1%
50.3%
OT
55.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |