Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Granlund 49.5% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 77.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 88.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Tkachuk
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Tkachuk
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
49.7% (493)
+5.2%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
58.6% (111)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
31.1% (61)
+68.9%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +68.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Granlund
Home
50.8% (128)
54.7% (276)
Away
62.9% (132)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Tkachuk
Granlund
P1
56.6%
52.2%
P2
58.9%
49.3%
P3
56.2%
47.4%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |