Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Rantanen 53.2% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 56.0%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 52.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 54.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Tkachuk
Rantanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
51.7% (346)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
58.5% (164)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Rantanen has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Rantanen
Home
56.0% (175)
55.8% (258)
Away
49.8% (205)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Tkachuk
Rantanen
P1
55.0%
50.0%
P2
51.9%
56.6%
P3
47.3%
54.3%
OT
77.8%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
52.6%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%