Brady Tkachuk vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 57.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 79.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
49.7% (1,038)
+5.2%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
63.7% (157)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
34.4% (32)
+65.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +65.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Home
50.8% (128)
53.1% (618)
Away
62.9% (132)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
P1
56.6%
49.3%
P2
58.9%
53.0%
P3
56.2%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%