Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Dowd 48.6% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 92.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Tkachuk
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
51.0% (671)
+3.9%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
0.0% (2)
+59.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.5% (224)
+58.5%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Dowd
Home
50.8% (128)
48.2% (471)
Away
62.9% (132)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Tkachuk
Dowd
P1
56.6%
48.3%
P2
58.9%
46.8%
P3
56.2%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%