Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 88.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Tkachuk
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
49.7% (292)
+5.2%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
50.0% (6)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.2% (36)
+52.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Bjugstad
Home
50.8% (128)
48.7% (193)
Away
62.9% (132)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Tkachuk
Bjugstad
P1
56.6%
41.5%
P2
58.9%
57.3%
P3
56.2%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%