Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 20 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 27-21 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.7%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 61.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
27
(48 meetings)
21
27
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
14
1
Tkachuk
Suzuki
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
18
Tkachuk
Suzuki
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
8
Tkachuk
Suzuki
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
49.4% (6,368)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
50.8% (1,355)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
44.0% (466)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Home
50.7% (1,435)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Tkachuk
Suzuki
P1
49.4%
48.9%
P2
51.3%
49.1%
P3
49.1%
50.3%
OT
55.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:05 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |