Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Acciari 53.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 93.4%
Neutral zone
Acciari 68.7%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Tkachuk
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tkachuk
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
56.7% (393)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
33.3% (3)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.0% (202)
+2.0%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Acciari
Home
50.0% (140)
54.5% (279)
Away
52.2% (207)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Tkachuk
Acciari
P1
54.3%
56.9%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
49.5%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.3%
Acciari
44.0%▼
45.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |