Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Suter 46.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.8%
Defensive zone
Suter 67.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 71.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Tkachuk
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Tkachuk
Suter
Last 10: Tkachuk 6-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
1
Tkachuk
Suter
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
3
Tkachuk
Suter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
46.2% (3,223)
+2.7%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
53.0% (281)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
40.1% (307)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Suter is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,405).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Suter
Home
50.7% (1,435)
46.7% (1,823)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
45.7% (1,988)
By Period
Tkachuk
Suter
P1
49.4%
46.6%
P2
51.3%
46.0%
P3
49.1%
46.0%
OT
55.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |