Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Strome 44.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 75.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 69.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Tkachuk
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Tkachuk
Strome
Last 10: Tkachuk 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
1
Tkachuk
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
7
Tkachuk
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tkachuk
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
44.2% (6,887)
+4.7%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
49.2% (855)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
41.5% (410)
+3.5%
On even strength, Tkachuk has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Strome
Home
50.7% (1,435)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Tkachuk
Strome
P1
49.4%
43.9%
P2
51.3%
45.4%
P3
49.1%
44.4%
OT
55.3%
46.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |