Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Bennett 48.2% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 69.0%
Defensive zone
Bennett 80.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 55.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Tkachuk
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tkachuk
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Tkachuk
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
46.4% (811)
+8.5%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
56.9% (153)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.8% (46)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Bennett
Home
50.8% (128)
49.9% (553)
Away
62.9% (132)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Tkachuk
Bennett
P1
56.6%
47.4%
P2
58.9%
46.8%
P3
56.2%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |